Pandemic is Over — But Covid is Here to Stay

Jane Jewell • February 6, 2024


The good news is that the covid pandemic is over, but the bad news is that covid isn’t gone for good. Instead, experts say, covid is here to stay. 

 

The covid virus has become pervasive almost everywhere, and like flu, the common cold, and other ordinary illnesses, covid is now endemic, with seasonal and local fluctuations. It’s the new normal.

 

Covid is still dangerous and now surging again across the United States.

 

Along with flu and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV), cases of covid have been rising sharply since December 2023.

  • Nationwide, hospitalizations from covid were up 20% for the week ending December 30.
  • That same week, deaths rose 13%, with covid deaths accounting for 3.6% of all deaths in the U.S.

 

Covid has been among the leading causes of death in the U.S. every year since the beginning of the pandemic in 2020, and this year doesn’t look any different.

 

According to data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, hospital admissions for covid peaked at 7,778 in January 2024.

 

For comparison, in January 2022, covid hospitalizations reached the all-time national high of over 145,000. Infections were at record levels then, with the national number of new cases at over 700,000 per day.

 

This winter, the numbers are much lower. However, they are still high, with continuing — though lower — peaks and valleys.

 

This surge in hospitalizations reflects holiday travel and socializing from Thanksgiving through New Year’s, as well as the appearance of a new Omicron variant, JN.1, nicknamed Pirola.

 

This variant was detected in last August and showed up a month later in the U.S.

  • In mid-November, it was responsible for 3.5% of U.S. covid cases.
  • By mid-December, it accounted for 21%.
  • By January 5 of this year, that percentage had risen to 62%.
  • Two weeks later it reached 85% and is expected to continue to rise.

 

Fortunately, even though it is more contagious, Pirola doesn’t appear to cause more serious disease. It has a new mutation that helps it evade vaccine protection more easily, though vaccines still protect against severe illness or death. As with previous covid strains, early data on JN.1 indicate that the unvaccinated are three to five times more likely to die from a covid infection.

 

After an early January peak, hospitalization rates began to drop, but not by much. Two weeks later, there was still an average of 6,754 new hospitalizations every day for that week. 

 

This current surge in covid cases and hospitalizations is driven by several factors. Cold and dry winter weather is more hospitable to viruses in general and keeps people indoors which concentrates the virus and prolongs exposure. Good indoor air circulation can significantly reduce infections, as can efficient, high quality air filters.

 

Covid Hot (and Warm!) Spots

 

The above numbers are all national statistics, showing that covid is increasing in the U.S. However, covid rates fluctuate locally, creating hot spots. These hot spots change rapidly; as one hot spot fades another arises. 

 

The map below shows known U.S. covid hot spots as of January 20 as measured by daily hospital admissions.

  • Fewer than 10 admissions per 100,000 population is considered low.
  • Medium is 10-19.9 hospitalizations.
  • Any area with an admission rate of 20 or more is considered high.

 

There are hot spots across the U.S. Numerous areas are over 20; some are as high as 50 (red) or 75 or more (dark purple). The Eastern Shore is one such area.

 

The grey on the map covers areas for which there is no data. Since the pandemic was declared officially over in May 2023, the reporting of covid statistics is no longer mandatory, so many municipalities have stopped collecting or reporting their local covid cases. There are undoubtedly more hot spots in those grey areas.



The Maryland State Public Health Services sent out an advisory letter on December 28, strongly recommending that medical facilities increase their safety measures against covid and other respiratory illnesses by re-instituting universal masking and other protective measures until Maryland’s combined hospitalization for all respiratory illnesses stays below 10 per 100,000 population for two consecutive weeks. The state-wide rate was 11.4 on December 16 but much higher in the hot spots.

 

The enlarged section of the map shows that large parts of the Eastern Shore had high hospitalization rates of 45-75 and up per 100,000 residents.

  • 95 per 100,000 populations in the Easton hospital service area
  • 38 in the Chestertown hospital service area
  • 10 in the Salisbury hospital area
  • 15 in nearby Wilmington, Delaware



These rates are for hospitals, not towns or counties. Some hospitals have more beds and services, drawing people from outside the hospital’s geographical area, thus possibly exaggerating the prevalence of covid in the surrounding area while underestimating the amount in other areas.

 

 

Sources and More Information:

“COVID-19 Activity Increases as Prevalence of JN.1 Variant Continues to Rise,” CDC, Jan. 5, 2024.

https://www.cdc.gov/respiratory-viruses/whats-new/JN.1-update-2024-01-05.html

 

“Maryland hospitals seeing post-holiday increase in COVID and flu cases,” Angela Roberts, Baltimore Sun, Jan. 8, 2024. https://www.baltimoresun.com/2024/01/08/respiratory-season-flu-covid-rsv-hospitals/

 

“Md. Health Department Urges Masks, Vaccination after Respiratory Illness-related Hospitalizations,” Danielle J. Brown, Maryland Matters, Jan. 4, 2024. https://www.marylandmatters.org/2024/01/04/md-health-department-urges-masks-vaccination-after-respiratory-illness-related-hospitalizations/

 

“Track Covid-19 in the U.S.,” New York Times, updated Jan. 30, 2024. https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/us/covid-cases.html

 

“We’re In a Major COVID-19 Surge. It’s Our New Normal,” Jamie Ducharme, Time Magazine, Jan. 12, 2024.

https://time.com/6554340/covid-19-surge-2024/

 

“What to know about JN.1, newly dominant COVID-19 variant in US: Symptoms and more,” Caroline Kee, Today, Jan. 19, 2024.

https://www.today.com/health/coronavirus/jn-1-covid-variant-symptoms-rcna129344

 

“What to Know about the New COVID Variant JN.1,” Julie Appleby, KFF Health News, Jan. 8, 2024.

https://www.scientificamerican.com/article/what-to-know-about-the-new-covid-variant-jn-1/

 

 

Jane Jewell is a writer, editor, photographer, and teacher. She has worked in news, publishing, and as the director of a national writer's group. She lives in Chestertown with her husband Peter Heck, a ginger cat named Riley, and a lot of books.

 

Common Sense for the Eastern Shore

By Friends of Megan Outten July 29, 2025
Megan Outten, a lifelong Wicomico County resident and former Salisbury City Councilwoman, officially announced her candidacy recently for Wicomico County Council, District 7. At 33, Outten brings the energy of a new generation combined with a proven record of public service and results-driven leadership. “I’m running because Wicomico deserves better,” Outten said. “Too often, our communities are expected to do more with less. We’re facing underfunded schools, limited economic opportunities, and years of neglected infrastructure. I believe Wicomico deserves leadership that listens, plans ahead, and delivers real, measurable results.” A Record of Action and A Vision for the Future On Salisbury’s City Council, Outten earned a reputation for her proactive, hands-on approach — working directly with residents to close infrastructure gaps, support first responders, and ensure everyday voices were heard. Now she’s bringing that same focus to the County Council, with priorities centered on affordability, public safety, and stronger, more resilient communities. Key Priorities for District 7: Fully fund public schools so every child has the opportunity to succeed. Fix aging infrastructure and county services through proactive investment. Keep Wicomico affordable with smarter planning and pathways to homeownership. Support first responders and safer neighborhoods through better tools, training, and prevention. Expand resources for seniors, youth, and underserved communities. Outten’s platform is rooted in real data and shaped by direct community engagement. With Wicomico now the fastest-growing school system on Maryland’s Eastern Shore — and 85% of students relying on extra resources — she points to the county’s lagging investment as a key area for action. “Strong schools lead to strong jobs, thriving industries, and healthier communities,” Outten said. “Our schools and infrastructure are at a tipping point. We need leadership that stops reacting after things break — and starts investing before they do.” A Commitment to Home and Service Born and raised in Wicomico, Megan Outten sees this campaign as a continuation of her lifelong service to her community. Her vision reflects what she’s hearing from neighbors across the county: a demand for fairness, opportunity, and accountability in local government. “Wicomico is my home; it’s where I grew up, built my life, and where I want to raise my family,” Outten said. “Our county is full of potential. We just need leaders who will listen, work hard, and get things done. That’s what I’ve always done, and that’s exactly what I’ll continue to do on the County Council.” Outten will be meeting with residents across District 7 in the months ahead and unveiling more details of her platform. For more information or to get involved, contact info@meganoutten.com
By John Christie July 29, 2025
Way back in 1935, the Supreme Court determined that independent agencies like the Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC), the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) and the Merit Systems Protection Board (MSPB) do not violate the Constitution’s separation of powers. Humphrey’s Executor v. United States (1935). Congress provided that the CPSC, like the NLRB and MSPB, would operate as an independent agency — a multi-member, bipartisan commission whose members serve staggered terms and could be removed only “for neglect of duty or malfeasance in office but for no other cause.” Rejecting a claim that the removal restriction interferes with the “executive power,” the Humphrey’s Court held that Congress has the authority to “forbid their [members’] removal except for cause” when creating such “quasi-legislative or quasi-judicial” bodies. As a result, these agencies have operated as independent agencies for many decades under many different presidencies. Shortly after assuming office in his second term, Donald Trump began to fire, without cause, the Democratic members of several of these agencies. The lower courts determined to reinstate the discharged members pending the ultimate outcome of the litigation, relying on Humphrey’s , resulting in yet another emergency appeal to the Supreme Court by the administration. In the first such case, a majority of the Court allowed President Trump to discharge the Democratic members of the NLRB and the MSPB while the litigation over the legality of the discharges continued. Trump v. Wilcox (May 22, 2025). The majority claimed that they do not now decide whether Humphrey’s should be overruled because “that question is better left for resolution after full briefing and argument.” However, hinting that these agency members have “considerable” executive power and suggesting that “the Government” faces greater “risk of harm” from an order allowing a removed officer to continue exercising the executive power than a wrongfully removed officer faces from being unable to perform her statutory duty,” the majority gave the President the green light to proceed. Justice Kagan, joined by Justices Sotomayor and Jackson, dissented, asserting that Humphrey’s remains good law until overturned and forecloses both the President’s firings and the Court’s decision to award emergency relief.” Our emergency docket, while fit for some things, should not be used to “overrule or revise existing law.” Moreover, the dissenters contend that the majority’s effort to explain their decision “hardly rises to the occasion.” Maybe by saying that the Commissioners exercise “considerable” executive power, the majority is suggesting that Humphrey’s is no longer good law but if that is what the majority means, then it has foretold a “massive change” in the law and done so on the emergency docket, “with little time, scant briefing, and no argument.” And, the “greater risk of harm” in fact is that Congress provided for these discharged members to serve their full terms, protected from a President’s desire to substitute his political allies. More recently, in the latest shadow docket ruling in the administration’s favor, the same majority of the Court again permitted President Trump to fire, without cause, the Democratic members of another independent agency, this time the Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC). Trump v. Boyle (July 23, 2025). The same three justices dissented, once more objecting to the use of the Court’s emergency docket to destroy the independence of an independent agency as established by Congress. The CPSC, like the NLRB and MSPB, was designed to operate as “a classic independent agency.” In Congress’s view, that structure would better enable the CPSC to achieve its mission — ensuring the safety of consumer products, from toys to appliances — than would a single-party agency under the full control of a single President. “By allowing the President to remove Commissioners for no reason other than their party affiliation, the majority has negated Congress’s choice of agency bipartisanship and independence.” The dissenters also assert that the majority’s sole professed basis for the more recent order in Boyle was its prior order in Wilcox . But in their opinion, Wilcox itself was minimally explained. So, the dissenters claim, the majority rejects the design of Congress for a whole class of agencies by “layering nothing on nothing.” “Next time, though, the majority will have two (if still under-reasoned) orders to cite. Truly, this is ‘turtles all the way down.’” Rapanos v. United States (2006). * ***** *In Rapanos , in a footnote to his plurality opinion, former Supreme Court Justice Scalia explained that this allusion is to a classic story told in different forms and attributed to various authors. His favorite version: An Eastern guru affirms that the earth is supported on the back of a tiger. When asked what supports the tiger, he says it stands upon an elephant; and when asked what supports the elephant, he says it is a giant turtle. When asked, finally, what supports the giant turtle, he is briefly taken aback, but quickly replies "Ah, after that it is turtles all the way down." John Christie was for many years a senior partner in a large Washington, D.C. law firm. He specialized in anti-trust litigation and developed a keen interest in the U.S. Supreme Court about which he lectures and writes.
By Shore Progress, Progessive Maryland, Progressive Harford Co July 15, 2025
Marylanders will not forget this vote.
Protest against Trumpcare, 2017
By Jan Plotczyk July 9, 2025
More than 30,000 of our neighbors in Maryland’s first congressional district will lose their health insurance through the Affordable Care Act and Medicaid because of provisions in the GOP’s heartless tax cut and spending bill passed last week.
Farm in Dorchester Co.
By Michael Chameides, Barn Raiser May 21, 2025
Right now, Congress is working on a fast-track bill that would make historic cuts to basic needs programs in order to finance another round of tax breaks for the wealthy and big corporations.
By Catlin Nchako, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities May 21, 2025
The House Agriculture Committee recently voted, along party lines, to advance legislation that would cut as much as $300 million from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. SNAP is the nation’s most important anti-hunger program, helping more than 41 million people in the U.S. pay for food. With potential cuts this large, it helps to know who benefits from this program in Maryland, and who would lose this assistance. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities compiled data on SNAP beneficiaries by congressional district, cited below, and produced the Maryland state datasheet , shown below. In Maryland, in 2023-24, 1 in 9 people lived in a household with SNAP benefits. In Maryland’s First Congressional District, in 2023-24: Almost 34,000 households used SNAP benefits. Of those households, 43% had at least one senior (over age 60). 29% of SNAP recipients were people of color. 15% were Black, non-Hispanic, higher than 11.8% nationally. 6% were Hispanic (19.4% nationally). There were 24,700 total veterans (ages 18-64). Of those, 2,200 lived in households that used SNAP benefits (9%). The CBPP SNAP datasheet for Maryland is below. See data from all the states and download factsheets here.
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