Vacation Housing on the Shore vs. Affordable Housing

Jan Plotczyk • June 20, 2023


Tourism is a major industry on the Eastern Shore and guest accommodations are essential to tourism. In recent years, there has been an explosion of online vacation rentals supplementing traditional hotel, motel, and bed-and-breakfast rooms for overnight visitors. The best known of these online vacation rental services is AirBNB, specializing in short term rentals (STRs), or the rental of entire apartment units or houses to tourists for less than 30 days.

 

AirBNB originated in 2007, but other online rental websites are older, like Vrbo (Vacation Rentals by Owner), which first took bookings in 1995. As soon as it became clear that people were comfortable listing rooms, apartments, and houses online, and that other people were comfortable using the internet to make their reservations, other websites appeared. AirBNB is the most successful and best known, and has become shorthand for the entire industry. Nationwide, the STR industry has increased 800% since 2011.

 

During the pandemic, interest rates were low and people were looking to escape from the cities, so investors bought up a lot of real estate and converted it into STRs. Profits were good, as many people were more comfortable staying in a rental house or apartment rather than a hotel room, and the STR business boomed.

 

As Business Insider wrote in a recent article, it was the "wild west" time of online vacation rentals. But the boom has turned into a bust in many places, with an oversupply of STRs. Local governments are faced with trying to curb the problems created by vacation rentals — noise, garbage, bad behavior, decreasing property values — while trying to cash in on the revenue generating aspect of STRs, i.e., occupancy taxes.

 

But the more troubling aspect of the conversion of properties into STRs is the fact that a large number of housing units were taken out of the long term housing market, reducing the number of properties available to residents to rent and buy, and raising rents and purchase prices of those left available.

 

As reported by Granicus (a company that provides web services and vacation rental tracking services for the public sector), “recent academic research seems to justify that citizens and local politicians have good reasons to be concerned about the impact of short-term rentals on housing affordability.” And anecdotal evidence abounds of people forced out of their rental housing situations because owners are converting their houses and apartments to more lucrative STRs.

 

A paper published by Harvard Law & Policy Review explained that the STR industry — understandably — emphasizes its positive effects on tourism, while critics contend that STRs harm neighborhoods, distort the housing market through living unit conversion, undermine labor unions, and exacerbate the affordable housing crisis.

 

The result has been to exacerbate the affordable housing crisis on the Eastern Shore, as STRs help increase rent and purchase prices, and reduce affordable housing stock. Axios Markets reported on May 31 that, “relative to prices in late 2019 — before covid — nationwide home prices were roughly 40% higher in April, according to the Federal Housing Finance Agency. There aren't that many homes on the market, and that's keeping prices from actually falling much.”

 


The Census Bureau recently released new housing data from the 2020 Census. Some of the data describe the types of vacant housing: available for sale, available for rent, and units for seasonal, recreational, or occasional use (referred to as seasonal in this article). Second homes, weekend homes, and vacation rentals are included in that last category. A housing unit was classified as vacant if it was unoccupied at the time of the 2020 Census.

 

The Eastern Shore’s nine counties taken as a region have a large percentage (70%) of seasonal units, and a relatively small percentage (15%) of units available for rent or sale. Of Maryland’s vacant housing, 27% is for seasonal use, and 42% is available for rent or sale.

 

There is an inverse relationship among the Eastern Shore counties between percentage of seasonal units and units available for rent and sale — when one of those categories is large, the other is small, and vice versa.

 

It is no surprise that Worcester County leads the Shore with 88% of vacant housing as seasonal units and only 7% of vacant units available for long-term rental or for sale. On the other end of the spectrum, Caroline and Wicomico counties, with the least amount of tourism activity, have fewer seasonal units and more units available for rent or sale. Kent and Talbot counties, both with a lot of shoreline, have large percentages of seasonal units.

 


A breakdown of vacant units into those available for long-term rent and those available for sale shows a similar ranking among the Eastern Shore counties.

 

It remains to be seen how local governments will address this issue, if at all. Local governments have had two responses: either allow vacation rental listings to multiply unchecked or cap the number of permitted rentals. The former option creates a glut of listings with lower rents and empty rooms; the latter option preserves investor income and often placates neighbors. Potential tax revenue weighs heavily into these decisions, as many jurisdictions levy a room or hotel tax on STRs. How to keep track of these properties is one problem.

 

But the bigger problem is the loss of properties for long-term rental and for sale. The Eastern Shore counties have a shortage of affordable housing for teachers, police, and the very workers who cater to the tourism industry. Where will they live?

 

 

Jan Plotczyk spent 25 years as a survey and education statistician with the federal government, at the Census Bureau and the National Center for Education Statistics. She retired to Rock Hall.

 

Common Sense for the Eastern Shore

Farm in Dorchester Co.
By Michael Chameides, Barn Raiser May 21, 2025
Right now, Congress is working on a fast-track bill that would make historic cuts to basic needs programs in order to finance another round of tax breaks for the wealthy and big corporations.
By Catlin Nchako, Center on Budget and Policy Priorities May 21, 2025
The House Agriculture Committee recently voted, along party lines, to advance legislation that would cut as much as $300 million from the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program. SNAP is the nation’s most important anti-hunger program, helping more than 41 million people in the U.S. pay for food. With potential cuts this large, it helps to know who benefits from this program in Maryland, and who would lose this assistance. The Center on Budget and Policy Priorities compiled data on SNAP beneficiaries by congressional district, cited below, and produced the Maryland state datasheet , shown below. In Maryland, in 2023-24, 1 in 9 people lived in a household with SNAP benefits. In Maryland’s First Congressional District, in 2023-24: Almost 34,000 households used SNAP benefits. Of those households, 43% had at least one senior (over age 60). 29% of SNAP recipients were people of color. 15% were Black, non-Hispanic, higher than 11.8% nationally. 6% were Hispanic (19.4% nationally). There were 24,700 total veterans (ages 18-64). Of those, 2,200 lived in households that used SNAP benefits (9%). The CBPP SNAP datasheet for Maryland is below. See data from all the states and download factsheets here.
By Jan Plotczyk May 21, 2025
Apparently, some people think that the GOP’s “big beautiful bill” is a foregone conclusion, and that the struggle over the budget and Trump’s agenda is over and done. Not true. On Sunday night, the bill — given the alternate name “Big Bad Bullsh*t Bill” by the Democratic Women’s Caucus — was voted out of the House Budget Committee. The GOP plan is to pass this legislation in the House before Memorial Day. But that’s not the end of it. As Jessica Craven explained in her Chop Wood Carry Water column: “Remember, we have at least six weeks left in this process. The bill has to: Pass the House, Then head to the Senate where it will likely be rewritten almost completely, Then be passed there, Then be brought back to the House for reconciliation, And then, if the House changes that version at all, Go back to the Senate for another vote.” She adds, “Every step of that process is a place for us to kill it.” The bill is over a thousand pages long, and the American people will not get a chance to read it until it has passed the House. But, thanks to 5Calls , we know it includes:
By Jared Schablein, Shore Progress May 13, 2025
Let's talk about our Eastern Shore Delegation, the representatives who are supposed to fight for our nine Shore counties in Annapolis, and what they actually got up to this session.
By Markus Schmidt, Virginia Mercury May 12, 2025
For the first time in recent memory, Virginia Democrats have candidates running in all 100 House of Delegates districts — a milestone party leaders and grassroots organizers say reflects rising momentum as President Donald Trump’s second term continues to galvanize opposition.
Shore Progress logo
By Jared Schablein, Shore Progress April 22, 2025
The 447th legislative session of the Maryland General Assembly adjourned on April 8. This End of Session Report highlights the work Shore Progress has done to fight for working families and bring real results home to the Shore. Over the 90-day session, lawmakers debated 1,901 bills and passed 878 into law. Shore Progress and members supported legislation that delivers for the Eastern Shore, protecting our environment, expanding access to housing and healthcare, strengthening workers’ rights, and more. Shore Progress Supported Legislation By The Numbers: Over 60 pieces of our backed legislation were passed. Another 15 passed in one Chamber but not the other. Legislation details are below, past the budget section. The 2026 Maryland State Budget How We Got Here: Maryland’s budget problems didn’t start overnight. They began under Governor Larry Hogan. Governor Hogan expanded the state budget yearly but blocked the legislature from moving money around or making common-sense changes. Instead of fixing the structural issues, Hogan used federal covid relief funds to hide the cracks and drained our state’s savings from $5.5 billion to $2.3 billion to boost his image before leaving office. How Trump/Musk Made It Worse: Maryland is facing a new fiscal crisis driven by the Trump–Musk administration, whose trade wars, tariff policies, and deep federal cuts have hit us harder than most, costing the state over 30,000 jobs, shuttering offices, and erasing promised investments. A University of Maryland study estimates Trump’s tariffs alone could cost us $2 billion, and those federal cuts have already added $300 million to our budget deficit. Covid aid gave us a short-term boost and even created a fake surplus under Hogan, but that money is gone, while housing, healthcare, and college prices keep rising. The Trump–Musk White House is only making things worse by slashing funding, gutting services, and eliminating research that Marylanders rely on. How The State Budget Fixes These Issues: This year, Maryland faced a $3 billion budget gap, and the General Assembly fixed it with a smart mix of cuts and fair new revenue, while protecting working families, schools, and health care. The 2025 Budget cuts $1.9 billion ($400 million less than last year) without gutting services people rely on. The General Assembly raised $1.2 billion in fair new revenue, mostly from the wealthiest Marylanders. The Budget ended with a $350 million surplus, plus $2.4 billion saved in the Rainy Day Fund (more than 9% of general fund revenue), which came in $7 million above what the Spending Affordability Committee called for. The budget protects funding for our schools, health care, transit, and public workers. The budget delivers real wins: $800 million more annually for transit and infrastructure, plus $500 million for long-term transportation needs. It invests $9.7 billion in public schools and boosts local education aid by $572.5 million, a 7% increase. If current revenue trends hold, no new taxes will be needed next session. Even better, 94% of Marylanders will see a tax cut or no change, while only the wealthiest 5% will finally pay their fair share. The tax system is smarter now. We’re: Taxing IT and data services like Texas and D.C. do; Raising taxes on cannabis and sports betting, not groceries or medicine; and Letting counties adjust income taxes. The budget also restores critical funding: $122 million for teacher planning $15 million for cancer research $11 million for crime victims $7 million for local business zones, and Continued support for public TV, the arts, and BCCC The budget invests in People with disabilities, with $181 million in services Growing private-sector jobs with $139 million in funding, including $27.5 million for quantum tech, $16 million for the Sunny Day Fund, and $10 million for infrastructure loans. Health care is protected for 1.5 million Marylanders, with $15.6 billion for Medicaid and higher provider pay. Public safety is getting a boost too, with $60 million for victim services, $5.5 million for juvenile services, and $5 million for parole and probation staffing. This budget also tackles climate change with $100 million for clean energy and solar projects, and $200 million in potential ratepayer relief. Public workers get a well-deserved raise, with $200 million in salary increases, including a 1% COLA and ~2.5% raises for union workers. The ultra-wealthy will finally chip in to pay for it: People earning over $750,000 will pay more, Millionaires will pay 6.5%, and Capital gains over $350,000 get a 2% surcharge. Deductions are capped for high earners, but working families can still deduct student loans, medical debt, and donations. This budget is bold, fair, and built to last. That’s why Shore Progress proudly supports it. Click on the arrows below for details in each section.
Show More