Covid-19 Cases Increase Sharply on the Eastern Shore, Throughout Maryland, and Across the World

Jane Jewell • November 24, 2020

It’s not a pretty picture these days. Covid-19 is on the rise everywhere — all across the world — giving full meaning to the term “pandemic.” Unfortunately, the United States and the world are now in the scenario predicted last spring by practically every medical expert everywhere — a larger, even worse wave of covid-19 as the cooler weather of fall and winter set in. Here in the U.S., all significant indicators — new cases, positivity rates, and hospitalizations — are going up. The worst hotspots in the U.S. are now in the western and midwestern states, but Maryland and its Eastern Shore are also seeing sharp increases.

To better allow comparison, the rates reported here are for the average number of new cases over the seven days ending Saturday, Nov. 21, and are adjusted per 100,000 population.

As of Nov. 21, of all the 50 U.S. states plus the District of Columbia and five U.S. territories, North Dakota had the highest weekly rate of new cases at 176.5 per 100,000. Wyoming and South Dakota were the second and third highest with similar new-case rates of 142.9 and 141.2.  Minnesota at 125 and Nebraska at 123.6 were fourth and fifth.

Five other states also had rates over 100 — Iowa, Montana, Wisconsin, Utah, and New Mexico — for a total of 10 states averaging over 100 new cases per day. Two weeks ago there were only three states with rates over a 100, and the highest rate then was North Dakota at 136. Now the highest is 176.5 and rising. Nationwide, the average number of new cases per day has increased 67 percent from the average two weeks ago. Covid-19 is surging at an alarming rate across America.

Further down the list as the 22nd and 23rd highest rates, Tennessee and Kentucky had almost identical new-case-per-day rates of 63.1 and 63.2. Their nearby neighbor to the north, Ohio, was just a little bit higher at 64.6. However, Ohio’s nextdoor neighbor to the west, Indiana, was almost 50 percent higher at a rate of 97.2 new cases per day.

Keep in mind that these statistics are all very fluid. It takes only a few days to a week or so for a town or county to go from a low rate to a high rate. About a month ago, Indiana and Maryland had nearly the same new-case rates. Both states have seen increases since then but Indiana’s rate has grown much faster, and on Saturday was at 97.2, almost three times Maryland’s rate of 35.6. This virus is very contagious and fast moving. By the time you read this, numbers will be different everywhere with states — as well as counties within states — constantly trading places on the list of places with the highest case rates.

Maryland’s new-case rate of 35.6 as of Nov. 21 may look good compared to other states. On Saturday, Maryland ranked 38th highest rate among the 56 states and territories. North Dakota’s rate is five times higher. But Maryland is only good in comparison to the states that are currently worse off. The Maryland rate is actually very troubling. Just a few weeks ago, Maryland’s rate was under 20. This Nov. 21 rate represents a sharp increase of 110 percent over the previous two weeks. That’s over twice as many people per day diagnosed with covid-19 as during the previous two weeks. Officials are worried that Maryland is headed in the same direction as the current hotspots. Hospitals in some areas of the state are beginning to feel the pressure.

Much of Maryland’s increase has been on the western side of the Chesapeake Bay with Allegany County as the state’s main hotspot.  Allegany had a rate of 145.3 on Nov. 21 — more than double its rate at the end of October. That’s higher than the entire state of Indiana and over four times the Maryland average of 35.6. In fact, if Allegany were a state rather than a county, it would have the second highest covid-19 rate in the U.S., right after North Dakota. Allegany’s rate was almost 50 percent higher than Garrett, the second highest Maryland county at 101.9.    

As a whole, the Eastern Shore of Maryland is a mixed bag. Earlier in the fall, the Eastern Shore had a number of hotspots and some of the highest rates in the state. This was especially true for nursing homes as well as crowded meat and poultry processing plants. Since then, all Eastern Shore counties have seen increases in their rates but many other counties have increased faster and now have higher rates. In fact, four of the five lowest rates in the state were Eastern Shore counties. These were Caroline (19.7), Talbot (16.9), Kent (16.2), and Dorchester (15.2). The lowest rate was on the Western Shore in Calvert (15.2).

On the other hand, the third highest rate in the state was 59.7 in Somerset County on the Eastern Shore. While still significantly below Allegany and Garrett counties, Somerset’s rate has more than doubled from what it was at the end of October.  

But, as noted before, these rates can change quickly. It’s a roller-coaster ride with hotspots cropping up rapidly in one place, then another.

All of this has resulted in Gov. Larry Hogan tightening the covid-19 restrictions in Maryland. Beginning Nov. 10, new regulations limited indoor gatherings to 25 people and returned all governmental offices to mandatory work-at-home status. Starting Nov. 11, all bars and restaurants can operate at only 50 percent capacity — reduced from 75 percent — and must comply with distanced servicing rules for both customers and staff.  

Then on Nov. 20, more restrictions were added, including several to address the special problems of hospitals, nursing homes, and other medical facilities. For the complete text of Maryland’s Nov.10 and Nov. 20 Emergency Orders regarding covid-19, click on the links at the end of this article.

Effective Nov. 20, all bars, restaurants, and other businesses with indoor seating for food and alcohol must close between 10 p.m. and 6 a.m. Carryout and delivery services may continue. Retail and religious facilities must reduce capacity to 50 percent. No spectators will be allowed at any racetracks or at any professional, school, or other stadium events.

Until further notice, the emergency order prohibits all hospital visitation with some exceptions — including end-of-life care, obstetrics, parents or guardians of minors, and support for people with disabilities. Also, visitation at Maryland nursing homes is limited to compassionate care only, and all visitors must have proof of a negative covid-19 test result within 72 hours before visiting.

Hogan stated that if we want to bring covid-19 under control in Maryland, officials, inspectors, etc., will need to start cracking down on places and persons not complying with these necessary regulations. “We are in a war right now, and the virus is winning,” he said.

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Maryland State and County Covid-19 Statistics as of Nov. 21

The first chart below from the New York Times shows the case rates since the beginning of the pandemic and the daily average of new cases for the week ending Nov. 21. All rates are adjusted per 100,000 population.


Source of above chart: New York Times Covid-19 Interactive Database

 

The next four charts from the Maryland Department of Health show the total numbers of cases (not rates) and related deaths since the beginning of the pandemic in March 2020 and include data by age, gender, and ethnicity.



Source of the above four charts of raw numbers by county, age, gender, and ethnicity: Maryland State Coronavirus Website

 

Maryland State Emergency Order on Covid-19, Nov 20, 2020


Maryland State Emergency Order on Covid-19, Nov 10, 2020



Jane Jewell is a writer, editor, photographer, and teacher. She has worked in news, publishing, and as the director of a national writer's group. She lives in Chestertown with her husband Peter Heck, a ginger cat named Riley, and a lot of books.


Common Sense for the Eastern Shore

By CSES Staff October 24, 2025
 Sparking alarm among housing advocates, social workers, and residents, Salisbury Mayor Randy Taylor has announced plans to gut Salisbury’s nationally recognized Housing First program, signaling a break from years of bipartisan progress on homelessness. Created in 2017 under then-Mayor Jacob Day, the initiative was designed around a simple but powerful principle: that stable, permanent housing must come first before residents can address problems with employment, health, or recovery. The program was designed to provide supportive housing for Salisbury’s most vulnerable residents — a model backed by decades of national data showing it reduces homelessness, saves taxpayer dollars, and lowers strain on emergency services. But under Taylor’s leadership, that vision appears to be ending. In a letter to residents, the City of Salisbury announced that the Housing First program will be shut down in 2027, in effect dismantling one of the city’s long-term programs to prevent homelessness. Taylor says he plans to “rebrand” the program as a temporary “gateway to supportive housing,” shifting focus away from permanent stability and toward short-term turnover. “We’re trying to help more people with the same amount of dollars,” Taylor said. Critics call that reasoning deeply flawed, and dangerous. Former Mayor Jacob Day, who helped launch the initiative, says that Housing First was always intended to be permanent supportive housing, not a revolving door. National studies show that when cities replace permanent housing programs with short-term placements, people end up right back on the streets, and that costs taxpayers more in emergency medical care, policing, and crisis intervention. Local advocates warn that Taylor’s move will undo years of progress. “This isn’t just a policy shift, it’s a step backward,” one social service worker said. “Housing First works because it’s humane and cost-effective. This administration is turning it into a revolving door to nowhere.” Even some community partners who agree the program needs better oversight say that Taylor is missing the point. Anthony Dickerson, Executive Director of Salisbury’s Christian Shelter, said the city should be reforming and strengthening its approach, not abandoning its foundation. Under Taylor’s proposal, participants could be limited to one or two years in housing before being pushed out, whether or not they’re ready. Advocates fear this change could push vulnerable residents back into instability, undoing the progress the city was once praised for. While Taylor touts his plan as a way to “help more people,” critics say it reflects a troubling pattern in his administration: cutting programs that work. For years, Salisbury’s Housing First initiative has symbolized compassion and evidence-based leadership and has stood as a rare example of a small city tackling homelessness with dignity and results. Now, as Taylor moves to end it, residents and advocates are asking a simple question: Why would a mayor tear down one of Salisbury’s most successful programs for helping people rebuild their lives?
By John Christie October 24, 2025
On the first Monday of October, the Supreme Court began a new term, Term 2025 as it is officially called. The day also marked John Roberts’ 20 years as Chief Justice of what history will clearly record as the Roberts Court. Twenty years is a long time but at this point, Roberts is only the fourth longest serving Chief Justice in our history. John Marshall, the fourth and longest, served for 34 years, 152 days (1801–35). Roger Brooke Taney, served for 28 years, 198 days (1836–64). Melville Fuller, served 21 years, 269 days (1888 to 1910). John Roberts was originally nominated by George W. Bush to fill the seat held by the retiring Sandra Day O’Connor but, upon the unexpected death of William Rehnquist, Bush instead nominated Roberts to serve as Chief Justice. His nomination was greeted by enthusiasm and high hopes in many quarters. He was young, articulate, personable, and highly qualified, having had an impressive academic record, experience in the Reagan administration and the private bar, and service on the federal D.C. Court of Appeals for two years. His “balls and strikes” comment at his confirmation hearing struck many as suggesting judicial independence. He sounded as well very much like an institutionalist, having said at an early interview that “it would be good to have a commitment on the part of the Court to act as a Court.” Whatever else might be said 20 years later about the tenure of John Roberts as Chief Judge, the Supreme Court is no doubt much less popular and much more divisive today than it was on September 29, 2005, when he was sworn in as the 17th Chief Justice by Justice John Paul Stevens, then the Court’s most senior associate justice, and witnessed by his sponsor, George W. Bush. Gallup’s polling data shows popular support for the Court now at the lowest levels since they started measuring it. In July 2025, a Gallup poll found that, for the first time in the past quarter-century, fewer than 40% of Americans approved of the Supreme Court’s performance. According to Gallup, one major reason that approval of the Supreme Court has been lower is that its ratings have become increasingly split along party lines — the current 65-point gap in Republican (79%) and Democratic (14%) approval of the court is the largest ever. The legal scholar Rogers Smith wrote in The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science in June, “Roberts’s tenure as Chief Justice has led to the opposite of what he has said he seeks to achieve. The American public now respects the Court less than ever and sees it as more political than ever.” These results signify more than simply a popularity poll because a Court without broad public support is a Court that will not have the same public respect upon which their most important decisions have historically depended. And, whatever the reasons for this development, it has happened on John Roberts’s watch. There is no better example of the current divisiveness on the Court than the remarkable string of “emergency” rulings on the Court’s so-called shadow docket since January 20. The extent of ideological and partisan differences has been sharp and extreme. The conservative majority’s votes have frequently been unexplained, leaving lower court judges to have to puzzle the decision’s meaning and leaving the public to suspect partisan influences. And the results of these shadow docket rulings have had enormous, sometimes catastrophic, consequences: Removing noncitizens to countries to which they had no ties or faced inhumane conditions Disqualifying transgender service members Firing probationary federal workers and independent agency heads Ending entire governmental departments and agencies without congressional approval Allowing the impounding of foreign aid funds appropriated by Congress Releasing reams of personal data to the Department of Government Efficiency Allowing immigration raids in California based on racial and ethnic profiling John Roberts has written many Supreme Court opinions in his 20 years as Chief Justice. At the 20-year mark, the most important, to the nation and to his legacy, will likely be his opinion in the Trump immunity case, which changed the balance of power among the branches of government, tipping heavily in the direction of presidential power. Trump v. United States (2024). In her dissent from his majority opinion in that case, Justice Sonia Sotomayor, joined by Justices Elena Kagan and Ketanji Brown Jackson, warned about the consequences of such a broad expansion of presidential power. “The Court effectively creates a law-free zone around the president,” upsetting the status quo that had existed since the nation’s founding and giving blanket permission for wrongdoing. “Let the president violate the law, let him exploit the trappings of his office for personal gain, let him use his official power for evil ends. In every use of official power, the president is now a king above the law.” Roberts claimed in his majority opinion that the “tone of chilling doom” in Sotomayor’s dissent was “wholly disproportionate” to what the ruling meant. However, Sotomayor’s words have proved prescient: the breadth of power that Trump and his administration have asserted in the months since he was sworn in for his second term has made plain how boundlessly they now interpret the reach of the presidency in the wake of the Roberts opinion. Despite the early “balls and strikes” comment, the assessment of John Roberts’ long term judicial record suggests something different as seen by several distinguished legal commentators from significantly different perspectives. As summarized by Lincoln Caplan, a senior research scholar at Yale Law School, in a new retrospective article on Robert’s 20-year tenure, “From his arrival on the Court until now, his leadership, votes, and opinions have mainly helped move the law and the nation far to the right. An analysis prepared by the political scientists Lee Epstein, Andrew Martin, and Kevin Quinn found that in major cases, the Roberts Court’s record is the most conservative of any Supreme Court in roughly a century.” “What Trump Means for John Roberts's Legacy,” Harvard Magazine , October 8, 2025. Steve Vladeck, Georgetown Law Center professor and a regularly incisive Court commentator, characterized the 20-year Roberts’ Court as follows: “The ensuing 20 years has featured a Court deciding quite a lot more than necessary — inserting itself into hot-button social issues earlier than necessary (if it was necessary at all); moving an array of previously settled statutory and constitutional understandings sharply to the right; and, over the past decade especially, running roughshod over all kinds of procedural norms that previously served to moderate many of the justices’ more extreme impulses.” “The Roberts Court Turns Twenty,” One First , September 29, 2025. In another remarkable new article by a widely respected conservative originalist, similar concerns about the present Court have very recently been expressed. Caleb Nelson, who teaches at the University of Virginia and is a former law clerk to Justice Clarence Thomas, has written that the text of the Constitution and the historical evidence surrounding it in fact grant Congress broad authority to shape the executive branch, including by putting limits on the president’s power to fire people. “Must Administrative Officers Serve at the President’s Pleasure?” Democracy Project, NYU LAW , September 29, 2025. When the First Congress confronted similar ambiguities in the meaning of the Constitution, asserts Nelson, “more than one member warned against interpreting the Constitution in the expectation that all presidents would have the sterling character of George Washington.” Nelson continues, “The current Supreme Court may likewise see itself as interpreting the Constitution for the ages, and perhaps some of the Justices take comfort in the idea that future presidents will not all have the character of Donald Trump. But the future is not guaranteed; a president bent on vengeful, destructive, and lawless behavior can do lasting damage to our norms and institutions.” John Christie was for many years a senior partner in a large Washington, D.C. law firm. He specialized in anti-trust litigation and developed a keen interest in the U.S. Supreme Court about which he lectures and writes. 
By Jan Plotczyk October 24, 2025
If you’ve ever wondered just how slavishly loyal Rep. Andrew P. Harris (R-MD01) is to President Donald Trump, you can now put a number on it! Just consult the Republican National Platform Ratings. When you do, you will find that Rep. Harris has a very high overall score: 90.38%. He is the most aligned with the Trump/GOP platform among Maryland’s congressional representatives. No surprise there. Among all U.S. senators and representatives (using 2024 votes), Harris is 43rd most aligned. One might expect more from the chair of the right-wing Freedom Caucus. Harris scores at 90.38% aligned overall. His ratings by topic range from 82.98% to 100%. The topics refer to chapters in the platform: Defeat inflation and quickly bring down all prices. Seal the border and stop the migrant invasion. Build the greatest economy in history. Bring back the American Dream and make it affordable again for families, young people, and everyone. Protect American workers and farmers from unfair trade. Protect our Constitution and seniors. Cultivate great K-12 schools leading to great jobs and great lives for young people. Bring common sense to our government and renew the pillars of American civilization. Government of, by, and for the people. Return to peace through strength. Here are all Harris’s scores:
By CSES Staff October 24, 2025
Several thousand people turned out on Oct. 18 in communities across the Eastern Shore to participate in the national “No Kings Day” protests, joining thousands of simultaneous events nationwide opposing the policies of President Trump’s administration. Demonstrations were held in Salisbury, Ocean City, Easton, Cambridge, Chestertown, and Centreville. These gatherings were part of a broader coalition effort that organizers say reflects frustration with the administration’s direction and a demand for renewed accountability and democracy. Participants across the Shore held signs and expressed concerns about immigration enforcement, executive power, and transparency in government. In jurisdictions that lean Republican and supported Trump in 2024, the rallies underscore a growing discrepancy between voting patterns and present activism. For example, in Queen Anne’s County — where the Trump vote was strong — residents joined the demonstration with statements of surprise at the turnout. Despite the scale of national mobilization, local organizers emphasized that the protest is rooted in community values of fairness, participation, and civic voice. One organizer on the Shore described the event as a reminder that “when people choose to show up, they remind their communities what democracy looks like.” Authorities reported no major disruptions during the Shore events, and police in some areas confirmed the rallies proceeded peacefully. For many in the region, the demonstrations mark an opening moment for more active civic engagement on the Shore, one that observers say could reshape local politics in counties historically seen as less partisan.
By CSES Staff October 24, 2025
The Maryland Democratic Party has launched a statewide initiative, Contest Every Seat, that aims to recruit candidates to run for public office across all levels of government ahead of the 2026 elections. Party officials say the goal is to ensure voters in every district across Maryland have a choice on the ballot. The program will include outreach, training sessions, and support for prospective candidates considering campaigns for local, county, and state positions. “The effort is designed to encourage Marylanders who want to make change in their communities to step up and take action,” the party announced. Interested individuals can visit mddems.org/run for information about the application process and training opportunities. The Maryland Democratic Party said similar initiatives in past election cycles helped increase candidate recruitment in local and rural areas, including the Eastern Shore.
By CSES Staff October 24, 2025
With the federal government now shut down for more than three weeks, Maryland is losing hundreds of thousands of dollars in revenue daily, a reflection of the state’s deep economic ties to the federal workforce. According to the Maryland Comptroller, approximately 230,000 Marylanders work directly for the federal government, with an additional 200,000 employed by federal contractors. The state’s economy, long intertwined with the operations of nearby federal agencies, is feeling the strain as paychecks stall and agencies close. Comptroller Brooke Lierman estimates Maryland is losing about $700,000 in state revenue each day — roughly one percent of the state’s average daily revenue of $100 million. “That is a small piece of our overall state budget,” Lierman said, “but as long as all our federal workers are paid what they are owed, that money will get back to us.” Federal employees generally receive back pay after shutdowns end, but recent statements from President Trump suggesting that furloughed workers may not be repaid have created uncertainty. More than 150 members of Congress, including Maryland’s entire Democratic delegation, signed a letter this week urging the Trump administration to guarantee back pay under the 2019 Government Employee Fair Treatment Act, which requires compensation for federal employees affected by a shutdown, and which Trump himself signed into law. Rep. Sarah Elfreth (D-MD03) said Congress is prepared to defend those protections. “Denying that pay would be illegal, and we will use every tool we have — both in Congress and in the courts — to ensure federal employees are made whole,” she said. During the 35-day federal shutdown in 2019, Maryland lost more than $13 million daily in economic activity and over $550,000 daily in tax revenue, according to state data. This latest shutdown comes amid broader federal workforce reductions under the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency, which announced layoffs earlier this year. A federal judge temporarily halted further cuts on Oct. 15 following a legal challenge. The effects extend beyond government offices. Universities such as Johns Hopkins and the University of Maryland Baltimore Washington Medical Center report disruptions to federally funded research projects and grant cycles. Gov. Wes Moore has directed state agencies to provide emergency support to furloughed federal workers, including housing and utility assistance. On Oct. 17, Moore announced the Maryland Transit Administration will offer free MARC and commuter bus rides to federal employees who show valid government ID. “This is what Maryland does in times of crisis, we band together and help each other out,” Moore said. “But no state can fill the gap created by the federal government. The longer this shutdown lasts, the more pain we will feel.” There is no indication of when negotiations in Washington to end the shutdown will resume.
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